#1 of 13
OpenAI
Up 0.3 since 23 Sep, rising over 30 days (Direction ▲ 4.2). Latest driver: OpenAI launches ChatGPT for Financial Services with GPT-6 Astra.
Leads onUsage and adoption1stRelease execution1stReception1stCapability3rd
Lags onNo pillar in the bottom half of the field
Score77.9▲ 0.3 since 23 Sep
Strength77.2Eight pillars
Direction▲ 4.2Last 30 days
Confidence
Score over time
ScoreStrength
32 daily closes, the earlier ones reconstructed. Download CSV
Reconstructed Rebuilt with the live code from evidence dated on or before 24 September 2026. How
The eight pillars
Each pillar 0 to 100 on fixed goalposts, with its rank among the 13 ranked labs. The tick marks the median lab; points are what the pillar adds to Strength.
Why OpenAI is #1
Most of its Strength comes from Capability and Usage and adoption. Points are contributions to the Score.
- Ahead of Anthropic by 1.3 points. Biggest differences: Ecosystem −3.6, Value +2.3, Reliability +1.8; Direction +0.1.
With every pillar weight moved up to 50% either way, it ranks 1 to 2 in 90% of recalculations; with equal weights, #1.
Since 23 Sep
Score up 0.3 (77.6 to 77.9). Usage and adoption +0.3.
What was measuredAll 25 readings behind this close, with source, date and goalposts
Filled: no fresh reading, so the ranked labs' median was used. Carried: a source that keeps no history, read later.
| Indicator | Reading | Scaled | Goalposts | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arena text rating Arena (arena.ai) text leaderboard: rating of the lab's best model with 1,000 votes or more | 1483.5 gpt-5.6-sol-xhigh | 78 | 1250 to 1550 rating | 24 Sep |
| Benchmarks Epoch AI Benchmarking Hub: the lab's best score on each of GPQA Diamond, FrontierMath tiers 1 to 3, SWE-bench Verified and OTIS Mock AIME, each placed between fixed goalposts, averaged; runs from the last 365 days, at least 3 of the 4 | 89.4 GPQA diamond 95.8% (GPT-6 Astra (max)); FrontierMath-Tiers-1-3-v2-Private 93.7% (GPT-6 Astra (max)); SWE-Bench verified 80.6% (GPT-5.5 (xhigh)); OTIS Mock AIME 2024-2025 100.0% (GPT-6 Astra (max)) | 89 | already 0 to 100 | 24 Sep |
| Paid adoption Published spend and paid-use evidence, latest edition of each: Ramp AI Index (share of US businesses paying the vendor, monthly), Menlo Ventures (enterprise API spend share), a16z CIO survey (share of LLM wallet), ICONIQ (share of AI builders using the provider), each placed on its own scale and averaged by weight; facts and sources at /data/adoption.json | 74.2 Ramp AI Index (2026-08): 39.76%; Menlo Ventures, State of Generative AI in the Enterprise (2025-12): 27%; a16z enterprise CIO survey (2026-01): 56%; ICONIQ, State of AI 2026: The Builder's Economy (2026-07): 71% | 74 | already 0 to 100 | 24 Sep |
| Assistant users Users of the lab's assistants (chat apps and coding agents) as the lab or its parent last disclosed them, or a panel measurement (QuestMobile) where a lab discloses none; weekly figures count as monthly (a lower bound); dated by disclosure, and only disclosures from the last 12 months count; not applicable to a lab with no figure; facts and sources at /data/assistants.json | 1000000000 ChatGPT, Codex and ChatGPT Work: more than one billion weekly active users and 2.5 million businesses (Sarah Friar, OpenAI CFO, 2026-09-08) | 91 | 1 million to 2 billion monthly users | 24 Sep |
| Web traffic Cloudflare Radar: the lab's best rank among the top 20 generative-AI services by traffic, 21 minus the rank | 20 ChatGPT / OpenAI #1 among generative-AI services | 100 | 0 to 20 rank points | 24 Sep |
| API spend share OpenRouter rankings: the lab's share of all dollars spent on OpenRouter in the last 30 days, across every model (not token volume, which cheap bulk models dominate) | 25.85 25.8% of $95.1M spent on OpenRouter in 30 days (122 models) | 86 | 0% to 35% of spend | 24 Sep |
| App charts App Store top free charts in 7 countries | 84.7 US #2, GB #3, IN #2, BR #2, JP #2, DE #2 | 85 | 0 to 100 chart points | 24 Sep |
| Coding agent downloads npm and PyPI downloads of the lab's official coding agents (such as Claude Code, Codex, Gemini CLI, Qwen Code, Mistral Vibe), last 30 days; not applicable to a lab with none; standalone IDEs without public counts (such as Antigravity) are not seen | 74822287 npm:@openai/codex 74822287 | 97 | 10 thousand to 100 million a month | 24 Sep |
| Coding extension installs VS Code Marketplace: installs of the lab's official coding extensions; not applicable to a lab with none | 14699180 Carried Carried back from 2026-09-24: openai.chatgpt 14699180 | 80 | 100 thousand to 50 million installs | 24 Sep |
| SDK downloads PyPI and npm downloads of the official SDKs, last 30 days | 416413816 pypi:openai 281381262; npm:openai 135032554 | 90 | 100 thousand to 1 billion a month | 24 Sep |
| Open-model downloads Hugging Face downloads of the lab's models, last 30 days | 64761197 openai | 76 | 10 thousand to 1 billion a month | 24 Sep |
| Shipping cadence Vikshy Wire: confirmed launches and updates of materiality 2 or more, last 90 days | 30 30 confirmed launches and updates in 90 days | 100 | 0 to 30 in 90 days | 24 Sep |
| Biggest launch Vikshy Wire: the biggest launch in the last 90 days, fading with age | 4.43 | 89 | materiality 0 to 5 | 24 Sep |
| Rating per dollar Arena rating of the lab's best-value model, less 30 points for each doubling of its blended list price (3 parts input to 1 part output), with prices below $0.30 per million counted as $0.30 | 1487 gpt-5.6-luna-xhigh: 1452 at $0.45/M blended | 59 | 1250 to 1650 points | 24 Sep |
| Cloud availability Amazon Bedrock, Google Cloud and Microsoft Foundry: whether each offers the lab's current models as a managed, pay-per-use API (the flagship or the model one step behind it counts 1, an older generation only 0.5, open-weight side lines 0), dated by availability; facts and sources at /data/distribution.json | 2 Amazon Bedrock: GPT-6 Astra (GA 8 Sep 2026), GPT-5.6, GPT-5.5; Microsoft Foundry: GPT-6 Astra, GPT-5.x | 67 | 0 to 3 platforms | 24 Sep |
| Open-weight hosts OpenRouter: distinct providers serving the lab's open-weight models; not applicable to a lab that publishes none (a closed model's reach is its cloud availability) | 21 AkashML, CoreWeave, DekaLLM, DeepInfra, Crusoe, Novita, Mancer 2, DigitalOcean, Google, BaseTen, Parasail, SambaNova | 74 | 1 to 60 providers | 24 Sep |
| Developer interest Hugging Face likes on the lab's models | 31514 openai | 60 | 1 thousand to 316 thousand likes | 24 Sep |
| Hacker News Hacker News points on stories about the lab, last 30 days | 18368 93 stories; top: Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board (2301) | 95 | 0 to 30,000 points | 24 Sep |
| Press and analysts Vikshy Wire: press and analyst pieces on the lab's developments, last 30 days | 46 | 88 | 0 to 60 pieces | 24 Sep |
| Official API uptime The lab's own status page: 30-day uptime of the components that make up its model API, counting major outages in full and partial outages at 30%, the pages' own formula (degraded performance is not counted); labs label outages differently, so a measured cross-check sits beside it | 99.9715 status.openai.com, APIs: 99.972% over 30 days (0.0 h major, 0.7 h partial outage) | 97 | 99% to 100% over 30 days | 24 Sep |
| Measured uptime OpenRouter: the median uptime of the lab's own API endpoints, an independent cross-check of the status page, the mean of daily readings over 30 days | 99.9714 mean of 30 daily readings, 2026-08-26 to 2026-09-24 | 100 | 90% to 100% | 24 Sep |
| Independent assessments Independent assessments published by then, each put on 0 to 100: the Future of Life Institute AI Safety Index (40%), the Stanford Foundation Model Transparency Index (30%) and the SaferAI risk-management ratings (30%), averaged over those that cover the lab; a lab none covers is not independently assessed, and filled with the median like any gap | 41.9 3 of 3 assessments: FLI AI Safety Index (2026-07) 2.28; Foundation Model Transparency Index (2025-12) 35; SaferAI Risk Management Tracker (2026-07) 34 | 42 | 0 to 100 | 24 Sep |
| Customer data commitments From the lab's own documentation: API and business data not used for training by default; a zero-data-retention option; a choice of data region | 3 no training on API data by default, zero data retention available, choice of data region | 100 | 0 to 3 commitments | 24 Sep |
| Security certifications From the lab's trust center: SOC 2 Type II, ISO/IEC 27001, ISO/IEC 42001 (AI management) covering its model API | 3 SOC 2 Type II, ISO/IEC 27001, ISO/IEC 42001 | 100 | 0 to 3 certifications | 24 Sep |
| Security and privacy incidents Security breaches, data leaks and regulatory privacy actions (bans, fines, orders) affecting the lab's AI services or caused by its AI systems in the last 12 months, from reputable reporting and regulators, counted once per public disclosure, and half when the lab itself disclosed harm from its AI with no legal duty to; every fact, and what was not counted and why, is at /data/trust.json | 3.5 2025-11-26: Breach at analytics vendor Mixpanel exposed API users' names, emails, approximate location and organisation IDs; 2026-07-21: Pre-release models escaped an evaluation sandbox and breached Hugging Face and other organisations (disclosed by the lab: counts half); 2026-05-06: Canadian federa | 0 | 0 to 3 in 12 months, fewer is better | 24 Sep |
What moved Direction
The developments that count most in the last 30 days. Direction ▲ 4.2.
- +2.6OpenAI launches ChatGPT for Financial Services with GPT-6 Astra3 Sep · New model generation from a lab
- −1.0OpenAI confirms role in German wiki forum agent incident5 Sep · Security incident
- +0.5OpenAI to show ads on ChatGPT free and Go tiers in India27 Aug · Round of $1B+ or valuation of $20B+
- +0.3OpenAI introduces MentalHealthBench for AI mental health responses23 Sep · Research release
- +0.3OpenAI releases GPT-6 Sol and Luna, cuts API prices 50%22 Sep · Usage limits raised
- +0.2OpenAI and Grab launch AI skills programme in Southeast Asia23 Sep · New product or feature
All 53 developments, line by line
Points for materiality, times recency, times diminishing returns (or the setback cap).
| Development | Materiality | Points | Recency | Diminish or cap | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI Jalapeño chip shows fast inference in benchmarks 25 Aug · Research release | 2 | 0.75 | 0.51 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| OpenAI to show ads on ChatGPT free and Go tiers in India 27 Aug · Round of $1B+ or valuation of $20B+ | 3 | 1.5 | 0.54 | 0.63 | +0.51 |
| OpenAI resets usage limits for ChatGPT Work and Codex users 27 Aug · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| OpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits for paid users 29 Aug · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.58 | 0.08 | +0.04 |
| OpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits for paid users 31 Aug · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.6 | 0.09 | +0.04 |
| OpenAI launches ChatGPT for Financial Services with GPT-6 Astra 3 Sep · New model generation from a lab | 5 | 4 | 0.66 | 1 | +2.64 |
| OpenAI to grant banked Codex and ChatGPT Work resets while Astra access is delayed 3 Sep · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.66 | 0.09 | +0.05 |
| OpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits for paid users 5 Sep · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.1 | +0.05 |
| OpenAI confirms role in German wiki forum agent incident 5 Sep · Security incident | 3 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1 | -1.03 |
| OpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits for all users 8 Sep · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.11 | +0.06 |
| OpenAI introduces ChatGPT Images 2.5 8 Sep · New model | 2 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.11 | +0.06 |
| OpenAI launches Data agent in ChatGPT Work 10 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.12 | +0.07 |
| OpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits 12 Sep · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.8 | 0.13 | +0.08 |
| OpenAI launches AI-powered advertising tools 16 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.17 | +0.11 |
| OpenAI and AARP bring ChatGPT workshops to older adults 16 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.16 | +0.1 |
| OpenAI shares framework for reporting model misalignment 16 Sep · Research release | 2 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.14 | +0.09 |
| OpenAI launches Astra for Law 17 Sep · New model generation from a lab | 2 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 0.19 | +0.13 |
| V7 uses GPT-5.6 to give AI agents institutional memory 17 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 0.22 | +0.15 |
| OpenAI releases GPT-6 Sol and Luna, cuts API prices 50% 22 Sep · Usage limits raised | 2 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 0.36 | +0.26 |
| OpenAI and Grab launch AI skills programme in Southeast Asia 23 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 0.29 | +0.22 |
| ChatGPT Ads expands to Southeast Asia and Taiwan 23 Sep · New product or feature | 2 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 0.25 | +0.18 |
| OpenAI introduces MentalHealthBench for AI mental health responses 23 Sep · Research release | 2 | 0.75 | 0.99 | 0.45 | +0.34 |
| OpenAI previews safety precautions for upcoming Astra model 1 Sep · Research release · minor: counts zero | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated error rate for Pro and Plus conversations 9 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI and GSA expand AI access for US governments 10 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT Project links failed to open for some users 10 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated errors affecting ChatGPT Work 10 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI scales storage platform for 1 billion ChatGPT users 11 Sep · Product update · minor: counts zero | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT users in Europe hit by elevated errors 11 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated API errors for GPT-5.6 Sol 11 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI reports ChatGPT Work turn failures for existing threads 12 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI Codex GitHub review and pull request failures resolved 13 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT users in Europe hit by elevated errors 13 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI acquires camera maker Glass Imaging for $300 million 14 Sep · Round of $100M+ · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT Work Mode errors resolved after outage 15 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated errors on GPT-5.6 paid plans 15 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI Ads Manager login issues resolved 15 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated errors affecting gpt-image-2.5-flare 16 Sep · Major outage · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT Work errors resolved after 50 minutes 16 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves elevated errors affecting ChatGPT Work mode 17 Sep · Major outage of an hour or more · incident without an independent report: counts zero | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI API models saw elevated error rates 17 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI publishes Australian Youth Safety Blueprint 18 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI expands Academy with new learning paths 21 Sep · Product update · minor: counts zero | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI calls for shared global AI standards 21 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI forms advisory group on mathematics and AI 21 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI sets out principles for third party AI safety assessments 22 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI resolves error rate affecting Plus and Pro users 22 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT Work error rates elevated across paid plans 22 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| ChatGPT Plus and Pro error rates resolved after 41 minutes 23 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI hires Patreon co-founder Sam Yam to lead Creator Product division 23 Sep · Product update · minor: counts zero | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Altman addresses UN Security Council on AI safety 23 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI extends Daybreak cyber access to Ukraine government 23 Sep · Policy or regulatory step · counts zero (kind or rule) | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI investigates ChatGPT mobile issue hiding Work Mode and model picker 23 Sep · Minor service incident · incident below materiality 3: counted in Reliability, not here | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Latest from OpenAI
What OpenAI shipped, broke and changed lately. The full OpenAI timeline, with every model it has released.
- 18 AugOpenAI launches ChatGPT version for teensFeatures · New product or feature
- 13 AugOpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limitsLimits and pricing · Usage limits raised
- 11 AugOpenAI launches ChatGPT desktop app for LinuxFeatures · New product or feature
- 11 AugOpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limitsLimits and pricing · Usage limits raised
- 8 AugOpenAI resets Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limits for paid usersLimits and pricing · Usage limits raised
- 7 AugOpenAI updates GPT-5.6 Sol in ChatGPT and limits free users to GPT-5.6 LunaFeatures · New flagship model
