Last 30 days, engine-computed as evidence enters and decays. (90-day view arrives as history accumulates.)
Confidence
Based on data coverage and source diversity.
High
Grade
100%
Coverage
31
Records (30d)
Factor breakdown
Standing bar · momentum arrow · coverage dot. Tap a factor on the full page for its indicators.
Capability69▲
Acceptance50–
Adoption55–
Execution58–
Value60–
Ecosystem48–
Reliability32–
What changed today
The editor's read on today's movement. The itemised evidence is below.
Released Grok 4.5 on July 8, 2026, at $2 per million input tokens, reaching fourth place on the Artificial Analysis index. Primary sourceIndependently testedReportedCapabilityValueAcceptance
Every development currently moving xAI's number, strongest first, with its source and a per-event trail: direction · base(materiality, tier) · decay(age / half-life) = contribution now. Pre-cap; see how the score works.
CapabilityIndependently testedDecaying
Grok 4.5 ranks #4 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
Independent evaluator Artificial Analysis scored Grok 4.5 at 54 on its Intelligence Index (4th overall) and placed it 4th on GDPval-AA v2 with an Elo of 1543, between Opus 4.8 (1600) and GLM-5.2 (1513).
Artificial Analysis independently places it at 54 on its Intelligence Index, ranked #4 overall.
artificialanalysis.ai ↗▲ up · base +1.8 (M3, independent) · decay 43% (55d / 45d half-life) = +0.77 to Capability momentum
ExecutionPrimary sourceDecaying
SpaceXAI launches Grok 4.5, its most capable model
On July 8, 2026, SpaceXAI (xAI) released Grok 4.5, a Cursor-trained model focused on coding, agentic tasks, and knowledge work, available via the console, Grok Build, and Cursor.
Grok 4.5, SpaceXAI's smartest model built to excel at coding, agentic tasks, and knowledge work.
x.ai ↗▲ up · base +4 (M4, primary) · decay 16% (56d / 21d half-life) = +0.63 to Execution momentum
ValueReportedDecaying
Grok 4.5 launches at $2/$6 per million tokens
Grok 4.5 shipped at $2 per million input tokens and $6 per million output tokens ($0.50 cached input), pricing well below comparable frontier models such as GPT-5.5 and Opus-class rivals.
Grok 4.5 is priced at $2 per million input tokens and $6 per million output tokens.
marktechpost.com ↗▲ up · base +1.4 (M3, reporting) · decay 27% (56d / 30d half-life) = +0.38 to Value momentum
EcosystemReportedDecaying
Grok 4.5 ships in Cursor on all plans, co-trained with Cursor
SpaceXAI partnered with Cursor to train Grok 4.5 and made it available at launch in Cursor's desktop, web, iOS, and CLI interfaces across all plans.
Grok 4.5 is available today in Grok Build, in Cursor on all plans ... The model was trained alongside Cursor.
marktechpost.com ↗▲ up · base +0.7 (M2, reporting) · decay 16% (56d / 21d half-life) = +0.11 to Ecosystem momentum